Countdown to XC Day 21: Davis Senior Girls

I wouldn't blame the Blue Devils if they just wanted to forget about 2017. Things just didn't come together for Davis last fall, culminating in a loss to Oak Ridge in the Sac Joaquin Section finals. (Of course, it's worth noting that even in a down year, the team finished 15th at the D1 state meet.) That rough season did a number on the program's 3-year Improvement Rating, as well, although they still grade out much better if you look at a 5-year span of time. Given their history, it's easy to believe that last fall was an anomaly - and result from track season definitely support that conclusion. Davis ranks 4th in California for returning 3200 runners, posting 6 sub-12 returners led by Sophia Lodigiani's all-time PR of 10:48. Two of the Blue Devils' top 6 3200 runners, Aniela and Charlotte Mitchell, did not even compete in cross country in 2017 - if that changes this fall, this will be a MUCH improved squad. Even if they don't run, there is plenty of young talent returning, and Lodigiani will be the only senior among the projected top 7 (although she is extremely valuable as an individual SJS title contender). That gives Davis a two-year window to get back to the top of the SJS and the state, and anyone betting against a rebound from one of the state's best programs would be foolish.

Team Statistics:

  • 5K Improvement Rating: 51st
  • 5K Returning Rankings: 44th
  • 3200 Returning Rankings: 4th
  • 1600 Returning Rankings: 20th

The purpose of the Countdown To XC is not to predict the top 30 teams in the state for the upcoming season (although we certainly hope that the top 15-20 teams are included in the countdown at some point). The goal is to recognize thirty teams to watch as cross country begins, using data to uncover squads with strengths that stand out from the pack. The countdown is also not meant to be in a strict order, because it's impossible to sort out several teams of similar strength at this point of the season.